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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.
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ROCK

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $35K of ROCK this 14d.

verified·79805c18fc91
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+8.5%alpha vs SPY
Day 12 of 30
Tracking to 30D
ROCK signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
13
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 21, 2026
Price
$35.15
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 12of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 3D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+3D
  3. 30D+18D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

20 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
9 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money9 / 40

  • VP and CFO Lovechio Joseph A bought $35K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +103845

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $1.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $4.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $231K (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $182.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 50.1% fell 15.2pp vs 20d avg 65.3%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals2 / 15

    • RSI(14) 40.0 (mild, room above)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • MACD histogram -0.336 (negative)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • Latest day's short ratio 50.1% (15.2pp below 20d baseline)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro1.9 / 10

    • VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19

      Macro composite· source

      +18.1

    • 10y-2y spread 53bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-20

      Macro composite· source

      +0.53

    • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +102.5

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.86

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 92bps (positive) as of 2026-05-20

      Macro composite· source

      +0.92
    Recommendation receipt

    Signal-level proof only.

    This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950389.

    Signal payload hash
    79805c18fc910a24dba3de487124a73fc0f39551f401f3c58b9c3b33eca4a471
    Timestamp
    2026-05-21 15:50 UTC
    Ticker
    ROCK
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $35.15
    Bitcoin block
    950389