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BETA

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $250K of BETA this 14d.

verified·db049715ab72
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+13.4%alpha vs SPY
Day 12 of 30
Tracking to 30D
BETA signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
19
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 22, 2026
Price
$15.97
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 12of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 3D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+3D
  3. 30D+18D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
8.4 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
3.1 / 10
Smart money8.4 / 40

  • Director Stone Michael Robert bought $250K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +500000

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $28.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $3.1M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $933.2M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • Bridgewater Associates LP holds $7.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 47.7% fell 14.2pp vs 20d avg 61.9%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.6 / 35

  • Revenue growth 136.0% YoY (period end 2025-12-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3

  • Operating margin expanded 75739bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 47.0 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram -0.248 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Latest day's short ratio 47.7% (14.2pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro3.1 / 10

  • VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +17.4

  • 10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +0.49

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.98

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +0.89

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$228B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerj20... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-21· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.19%
D7
+2.19%
n=95 · 65% hit
D15
+1.87%
n=39 · 62% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950455.

Signal payload hash
db049715ab72a077f28a1f2c66fc84f13a176cb0d6ffa55b5bac5e708a6e2ca0
Timestamp
2026-05-22 03:20 UTC
Ticker
BETA
Direction
Long
Issued price
$15.97
Bitcoin block
950455