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URI

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on URI this 14d.

verified·fd89dd89eb29
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+5.4%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
URI signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
14
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 22, 2026
Price
$932.18
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

26 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
5 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
5.1 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
3.1 / 10
Smart money5 / 40

  • Rep. Hon. Maria Elvira Salazar bought URI ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1

  • Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $497.3M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $329.8M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $113.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $56.1M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Capital Group Equity ETF Trust I holds $15.5M (NPORT-P 2026-02-28)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
Fund. & Earn.5.1 / 35

  • Revenue growth 7.2% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.9

  • Operating margin expanded 19bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0.3

  • Strong ROE (28.2%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Profitable (15.3% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 20.3 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +1

  • Analyst target $1084.25 >5% above 52w high

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 55.1 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram -8.039 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro3.1 / 10

  • VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +17.4

  • 10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +0.49

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.98

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +0.89

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$228B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerj20... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
house-clerk-ptr-pdf1/1 linked
Latest source events

  • house-clerk-ptr-pdf

    CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-05-08· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
house-clerk-ptr-pdf-0.41%
D7
-0.41%
n=13 · 46% hit
D15
+1.16%
n=8 · 63% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
Hon. Maria Elvira Salazar

Congress

+3.06%
D7
+3.06%
n=2 · 50% hit
D15
+10.00%
n=2 · 100% hit
D30
n/a
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950501.

Signal payload hash
fd89dd89eb293d3e7f1dce1f9187e98679549de36657c855d8193fba60fb1720
Timestamp
2026-05-22 10:45 UTC
Ticker
URI
Direction
Long
Issued price
$932.18
Bitcoin block
950501