AlphaYou
Sign in
All signals

MRK

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on MRK this 14d.

verified·2e48dd77d670
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 1 of 30
Tracking to 30D
MRK signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
16
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
Jun 2, 2026
Price
$115.17
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 1of 30
Next checkpoint: 7D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7D+6D
  2. 15D+14D
  3. 30D+29D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
3 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
3.3 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • JANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Global Research Fund] opened position ($26.8M)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • JANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Global Life Sciences Fund] opened position ($76.8M)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $718.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $7.7M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $4.3B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 34.6% fell 13.7pp vs 19d avg 48.2%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.3 / 35

  • Strong ROE (18.9%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Profitable (13.6% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 23.5 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +1
Technicals3 / 15

  • MACD histogram 0.939 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 34.6% (13.7pp below 19d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro3.3 / 10

  • VIX 15.3 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-29

    Macro composite· source

    +15.3

  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-29

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +1.01

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.74pp at 8th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.74

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-29

    Macro composite· source

    +0.76

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$156B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain partially linked.

Recommendation cmpvz99602... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

0.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage0 / 2
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P0/2 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR NPORT-P

    FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-29

    legacy

  • SEC EDGAR NPORT-P

    FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-29

    legacy
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P-2.64%
D7
-2.64%
n=4 · 25% hit
D15
-5.01%
n=1 · 0% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Proof queued.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

How OpenTimestamps works

Anchoring queued. Refresh after a moment to see the .ots proof.

Signal payload hash
2e48dd77d67035739a78686660dcd8d7afbf5cc7ae8090bc8b74712d453a98a0
Timestamp
2026-06-02 01:36 UTC
Ticker
MRK
Direction
Long
Issued price
$115.17
Bitcoin block
Queued